Analysis of the positioning of pressure systems in the Afria Zone during the last fifty years of dust days in Iran

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Department of Physical Geography, Faculty of Earth Sciences, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran

2 Research Institute of Meteorology and Atmospheric Science (RIMAS), Tehran, Iran

Abstract

Introduction
Pressure systems, including low and high pressures, are among the most important factors in shaping the general circulation of the atmosphere on Earth. These systems influence seasonal air circulation and wind patterns, and depending on the conditions of the water and land areas over which they blow, they determine the type of movable particles, especially floating particles (in this research, dust).
Study area
The land of research for this study with an environmental approach, encompasses the country of Iran in the southwest of Asia, covering an area of 1.65 million square kilometers. With a synoptic approach, it includes a region extending from the equator to 70 degrees north latitude and from 20 degrees west to 100 degrees east longitude.
 
Materials and Methods
In the current research, the hourly codes "06," representing the general concept of "visibility in meters," were collected from the dust code set for 38 cities in Iran over half a century (1970 to 2020) and related to the local time of 15:00 from the National Meteorological Organization. In this study, a dusty day was defined as a day with at least one hourly dust report. The selection of meteorological stations was conducted in a way that covers all over Iran. By arranging visibility values in daily tables and obtaining the frequency of stations with dust (abbreviated as "EDR"), 612 charts of the fluctuations in EDR frequency (one chart for each month) were drawn, and by applying two identifiers of "dust events based on visibility distance for at least during 3 consecutive days" and "dust reports from at least two adjacent stations," a total of 561 dust waves were identified. Therefore, each dust wave has three distinct elements, which include an increasing amplitude, a peak day, and then a decreasing amplitude of dust frequency. The aim of the continuous selection method of days for retrieving dust waves was to test the hypothesis of the impact of pressure systems on the arrangement and duration of the elements mentioned above in the form of positioning patterns of these systems. In the synoptic section, the loading of daily air-maps at the level of 1000 hPa from NCEP/ENCAR and the design of positioning patterns of pressure centers, both low and high pressure, during peak dust days was conducted in two time frames: the first time "distinguished by warm and cold periods of the year" and the second time "distinguished by two 25-year periods." For this purpose, the months of "June, July, August, and September" were considered representative of the warm period of the year, while the months of "December, January, February, and March" were considered representative of the cold period of the year.
Results and Discussion
The initial results showed that over the past half-century, among the 38 selected cities in Iran, three cities -Bandar Abbas, Bandar Genaveh, and Dezful—have been distinctly the dustiest in Iran. It was also determined that out of 561 dust wave events recorded in Iran, 189 occurred during the warm and 207 during the cold season. The trend in the frequency of dust waves indicates an increase in this dust hazard over the past half-century, especially during the warm season. In the synoptic section, the results indicated the northward advance of subtropical high-pressure centers over the past 25 years, particularly during the cold season. As a result, the desert belt in this part of the Earth has transformed into a buffer zone between generally low-pressure systems in the south and generally high-pressure systems in the north. This condition is also observed, albeit with less intensity, during the warm season. In this study, this supercontinent devoid of pressure systems during peak storm days of the cold season, extending from the deserts of Africa to the deserts of Asia, was referred to as "Afria" to indicate its orbital direction over the desert lands of these two continents, including the Sahara in Africa and the deserts of Hijaz, Iran, Turan, Tarim and Gobi in Asia. The deserts of this zone are the source of air currents or well-organized winds from the Hadley cell.
 
Conclusion
Comparison of the northerly positioning of subtropical high-pressure foci suggested the expansion of the Hadley cell in three zones of "African Desert", "Southern Mediterranean Waters" and "Hejaz". If it is determined in the future and with sufficient data that this expansion has also included the land of Iran, we should be more concerned than ever about the arrival of dust from the dusty deserts of Turkmenistan (Central Asia) to Sistan and Baloochestan in the east and southeast of Iran, and as a result, days darker than dust.

Keywords

Main Subjects


Abdi Vishkaee, F., Flamant, J., Cuesta, F.C., lamant, P. and Khalesifard, H.R., 2011. Multiplatform observations of dust vertical distribution during transport over northwest Iran in the summertime, J. Geophysical research. v.116, D5. Doi.org/10.1029/2010JD014573
Ahmadi, Z., Doostan, R. and Mofidi, A., 2015. Synoptic Analysis of Dust from the Warm Half of the Year in Southern Khorasan Province, Physical Geography Quarterly, v. 29(8), p. 41-62 (In Persian).
Alizadeh-Choobari, O., Zawar-Reza, P. and Sturman, A., 2014. The “wind of 120days” and dust storm activity over the Sistan Basin, Atmospheric Research, v. 143, p. 328-341. Doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2014.02.001
Al-Khalidi, J., Bakr, D. and Abdullah, A.A., 2021. Synoptic analysis of dust storm in Iraq, Environment Asia, v. 14(1), p. 13-22. Doi.org/10.14456/ea.2021.2
Amini, M., Barati, Gh., Shakiba, A., Moradi, M. and Karampour, M., 2017. The impact of monthly fluctuations Mediterranean Sea surface temperature in the fluctuations of monthly precipitation northwest Iran. Researches in Earth Sciences, v. 8(3), p. 28-41 (In Persian).
Azizi, G., Shamsipour, A., Miri, M. and Safarrad, T., 2012. Statistic and Synoptic Analysis of Dust Phenomena in West of Iran. Journal of Environmental Studies, v. 38(3), p. 123-134 Doi: 10.22059/jes.2012.29154 (In Persian).
Barati, G., Moradi, M. and Saiidinya, M., 2021. Synoptic Analysis of Hottest Cities in Iran. Researches in Earth Sciences, v. 12(2), p. 64-73. Doi:10.52547/esrj.12.2.64 (In Persian).
Barati, G., Moradi, M., Shamekhi, A. and Dadashi-Roodbari, A., 2017. Analysis of Relations between Dust Storms and Indus Low Pressure over Southern Iran. Journal of Natural Environmental Hazards, v. 6(13), p. 91-108. Doi: 10.22111/jneh.2017.3116 (In Persian).
Barati, G., Lashkari, H. and Karami, F., 2011. The Convergence of Pressure Systems and the Occurrence of Dust Storms in Khuzestan Province. Geography and Development, v. 9(22), p. 39-56. Doi: 10.22111/gdij.2011.569 (In Persian).
Boochani, M.H. and Fazeli, D., 2011. Environment Challenges and its Consequences Case Study: Dust and its Impact in the West of Iran. Guidance of political, defense and security, v. 12(3), p. 125 (In Persian).
Caesar, J., Janes, T.J., Lindsay, A. and Bhaskaran, B., 2015. Temperature and precipitation projections over Bangladesh and the upstream Ganges, Brahmaputra, and Meghna systems. Environmental science. Processes & impacts, v. 17(6), p. 1047-56. Doi:10.1039/c4em00650j
Chaturvedi, R.K., Joshi, J., Jayaraman, M. and Govindasamy, B., 2012, Multi-model climate change projections for India under representative concentration pathways, Current Science, v. 103(7), p. 791-802.
Dadashi-Roudbari, A., 2020. Analysis of spatiotemporal variations of vertical and horizontal patterns of aerosols and evaluation of its Climate feedback in Iran, Ph.D. Thesis of Urban Climatology, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran (In Persian).
Diaz, H.F. and Bradley, R.S., 2004. The Hadley Circulation: Present, Past, and Future. In: Diaz, H.F., Bradley, R.S. (eds) The Hadley Circulation: Present, Past and Future. Advances in Global Change Research, v. 21. p. 1-5. Doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4020-2944-8_1
Dunning, C.M., Black, E. and Allan, R.P., 2018. Later wet seasons with more intense rainfall over Africa under future climate change, Journal of Climate, v. 31(23), p. 9719-9738.
Godon, N.A. and Todhunter, P.E., 1998. A climatology of airborne dust for the Red River Valley of North Dakota. Atmospheric Environment, v. 32, p. 1587-1594. 10.1016/S1352-2310(97)00389-0
Grise, K.M. and Davis, S.M., 2020, Hadley cell expansion in CMIP6 models, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics., v. 20(9), p. 5249-5268. DOI: 10.5194/acp-2019-1206
Heidari, M., Khaledi, S. and Akbari Azirani, T., 2019. The Trend of Dust Storm Frequencies and its Impact on Public Health, Ilam Province. Physical Geography Research, v. 51(1), p. 123-134 (In Persian).
Hejazizade, Z. and Sedaghat, M., 2010. Numerical Tracking of Middle Eastern Cyclones in the Cold Period of the Year. Physical Geography Research, v. 41(69), p. 1-17 (In Persian).
Im, E.S., Pal, J.S. and Eltahir, E.A.B., 2017. Deadly heat waves projected in the densely populated agricultural regions of South Asia, Science Advances, v. 3(8), Doi: 10.1126/sciadv.1603322.
Jat, M.L., Dagar, J.C., Sapkota, T.B., Singh, Y., Govaerts, B., Ridaura, S.L., Saharawat, Y S., Sharma, R.K., Tetarwal, J.P., Jat, R.K., Hobbs, H. and Stirling, C., 2016. Climate Change and Agriculture: Adaptation Strategies and Mitigation Opportunities for Food Security in South Asia and Latin America, Advances in Agronomy, v. 137, p. 127-235.
Karami, F., 2010. Synoptic analysis of dust storms in Khuzestan province. Master's thesis. Department of Natural Geography, Kermanshah, Razi University (In Persian).
Kaskaoutis, D.G., Francis, D., Rashki, A., Chaboureau, J.P. and Dumka, U.C., 2019. Atmospheric dynamics from synoptic to local scale during an intense frontal dust storm over the Sistan Basin in winter 2019. Geosciences, v. 9(10), p. 453-473. Doi.org/10.3390/geosciences9100453
Kotharkar, R., Ramesh, A. and Bagade, A., 2018. Urban Heat Island studies in South Asia: A critical review. Urban Climate. v. 24, p. 1011-1026. Doi: 10.1016/J.UCLIM.2017.12.006
Kutiel, H., 2003. Dust Storms in the Middle East: Sources of Origin and their Temporal Characteristics. Indoor Built Environ. v. 12(6), p. 419-426. Doi.org/10.1177/1420326X03037110
Latif, A., Ilyas, S., Zhang, Y., Xin, Y., Lin, Z. and Zhou, Q., 2019. Review on global change status and its impacts on the Tibetan Plateau environment. Journal of Plant Ecology. v. 12 (6), p. 917-930. Doi: 10.1093/jpe/rtz038
Li, C., Su, F., Yang, D., Tong, K., Meng, F. and Kan, B., 2018. Spatiotemporal variation of snow cover over the Tibetan Plateau based on MODIS snow product, 2001–2014. International Journal of Climatology, v. 38(2), p. 708-728.‏ Doi.org/10.1002/joc.5204
Lu, J., Vecchi, G.A. and Reichler, Th., 2007. Expansion of the Hadley cell under global warming, Geophysical Research Letters, v. 34, L06805, Doi: 10.1029/2006GL028443.
Manisalidis, I., Stavropoulou, E., Stavropoulos, A. and Bezirtzoglou, E., 2020. Environmental and Health Impacts of Air Pollution: A Review. Frontiers in Public Health, v. 8, Doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2020.00014
Mofidi, A. and Jafari, S., 2022. The Role of Regional Atmospheric Circulation over the Middle East on the Occurrence of Summer Dust-storms in Southwest Iran. Journal of Arid Regions Geographic Studies, v. 2(5), p. 17-45 (In Persian).
Mohamadi moradian, J. and Hosseinzadeh, S.R., 2015. The Study of Desert Dust in Mashhad Metropolis Using Satellite Images and Synoptic Datasets (2009 - 2013). Journal of Geography and Environmental Hazards, v. 4(2), p. 35-57. Doi: 10.22067/geo.v4i2.45800 (In Persian).
Mohammadpour, K., Sciortino, M., Kaskaoutis, D. and Rashki, A., 2022. Classification of synoptic weather clusters associated with dust accumulation over southeastern areas of the Caspian Sea (Northeast Iran and Karakum desert). Aeolian Research, v. 54(1), p. 100771-100789
Morshedi Nodezh, T. and Rezazadeh, M., 2016. Investigation and analysis of local dust in Hormozgan: case study: Bandar Abbas. The second national conference on sustainable development in energy, water and environment engineering systems, https://civilica.com/doc/627726/  (In Persian).
Naserpour, S., Alijani, B. and Zeaiean, P., 2015. Sources of Dust Storms in South West Iran Using Satellite Images and Weather Maps. Physical Geography Research, v. 47(1), p. 21-36. Doi: 10.22059/jphgr.2015.53676 N2096 (In Persian).
Natsagdorja, L., Jugdera, D. and Chungb, Y.S., 2003. Analysis of Dust Storms Observed in Mongolia during 1937–1999, Atmospheric Environment, v. 37, p. 1401-1411.
Doi: 10.1016/S1352-2310(02)01023-3
Naveendrakumar, G., Vithanage, M., Kwon, H.H., Chandrasekara, S.S.K., Iqbal, M.C.M., Pathmarajah, S., Fernando, W.C.D.K. and Obeysekera, J., 2015. South Asian perspective on temperature and rainfall extremes: A review, Atmospheric Research, v. 225 p. 110-120.
Orlovsky, L., Orlovsky, N. and Durdyev, A., 2005, Dust Storms in Turkmenistan. Journal of Arid Environments, v. 60 (1), p. 83-97. Doi.org/10.1016/J.JARIDENV.2004.02.008
Ridder, N.N., Ukkola, A.M., Pitman, A.J. and Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S.E., 2022. Increased occurrence of high impact compound events under climate change, npj climate and atmospheric science, v. 5(1), Doi: 10.1038/s41612-021-00224-4
Roohbakhsh Sigaroodi, H., Karampoor, M., Ghaemi, H., Moradi, M. and Azadi, M., 2018. Investigating Minimum and Maximum Temperature Anomalies during Warm Seasons to Reveal Warm and Cool Spell over Iran. Journal of Geography and Environmental Hazards, v. 7(3), p. 161-187. Doi: 10.22067/geo.v0i0.73549 (In Persian).
Rupakheti, D., Kang, S., Bilal, M., Gong, J., Xia, X. and Cong, Z., 2019. Aerosol optical depth climatology over Central Asian countries based on Aqua-MODIS Collection 6.1 data: Aerosol variations and sources. Atmospheric Environment. v. 207, p. 205-214.
Schmidt, D.F. and Grise, K.M., 2017. The Response of Local Precipitation and Sea Level Pressure to Hadley Cell Expansion, Geophysical Research Letters, v. 44(20), p. 10,573-10,582. Doi.org/10.1002/2017GL075380
Shahsavani, A., Yarahmadi, M., Haghighifard, N.J., Naimabadie, A., Mahmoudian, M.H., Saki, H., Sowlat, M.H., Soleimani, Z. and Naddafi, K., 2011. Dust Storms: Environmental and Health impacts. Journal of North Khorasan University of Medical Sciences, v. 2(4), p. 45-56. Doi.org/10.29252/JNKUMS.2.4.45 (In Persian).
Sharmila, S. and Walsh, K.J., 2018. Recent poleward shift of tropical cyclone formation linked to Hadley cell expansion. Nature Climate Change, v. 8, p. 730-736. Doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0227-5
Shiri, F., 2016. Statistical-synoptic analysis of cold record cities over Iran during four recent decades. Master's thesis. Department of Natural Geography, Shahid Beheshti University (In Persian).
Wainwright, C.M., Finney, D.L., Kilavi, M., Black, M. and Marsham, J.H., 2021. Extreme rainfall in East Africa, October 2019–January 2020 and context under future climate change, Weather, v. 76(1), p. 26-31.
Wilkerson, W.D., 1991. Dust and Sand Forecasting in Iraq and Adjoining Countries. Environmental Science Air Weather Service, Scott Air Force Base, Illinois.
Xian, T., Xia, J., Wei, W., Zhang, Z., Wang, R., Wang, L.P. and Ma, Y.F., 2021. Is Hadley Cell Expanding? Atmosphere, v. 12(12), p. 1699. https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos12121699
Yue, L., Yougui, S., Kaskaoutis, D.G., Xiuling, Ch., Mamadjanov, Y. and Liangcheng, T., 2019. Atmospheric dust dynamics in southern Central Asia: Implications for buildup of Tajikistan loess sediments, Atmospheric Research, v. 229, p. 74-85
Zhang, Y., Gao, T., Kang, S., Shangguan, D. and Luo, X., 2021. Albedo reduction as an important driver for glacier melting in Tibetan Plateau and its surrounding areas. Earth-Science Reviews, v. 220, p. 103735. Doi.org/10.1016/J.EARSCIREV.2021.103735.